Primeira Liga predicted lineups · Matchday 5 2026/27
Each team's probable XI (possible lineup) with every player's start probability, plus the matchday's injured and suspended players. Recomputed every morning and at noon; the version published three hours before kickoff is the one graded against the confirmed lineup.
Expected points, matchday 5
The players with the most expected points according to the model: start probability, minutes, expected goals and assists and clean sheet, on the standard position-weighted scale (goal 6/5/4, assist 3, clean sheet 4/1). Works for any fantasy game: the ranking survives a different scale.
| # | Player | Team | start | xG | xA | pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. PrestianniATT | Benficavs Maritimo | 97% | 0.63 | 0.33 | 5.4 |
| 2 | A. MarcusMID | Estrelavs Famalicao | 97% | 0.24 | 0.07 | 3.6 |
| 3 | Y. BegraouiATT | Estorilvs Arouca | 97% | 0.33 | 0.09 | 3.5 |
| 4 | V. PavlidisATT | Benficavs Maritimo | 39% | 0.50 | 0.15 | 3.5 |
| 5 | M. AraújoATT | Sporting CPvs Nacional | 75% | 0.28 | 0.18 | 3.4 |
| 6 | FigueiredoATT | Alvercavs SC Braga | 97% | 0.29 | 0.10 | 3.3 |
| 7 | Martín TejónMID | Maritimovs Benfica | 87% | 0.15 | 0.20 | 3.2 |
| 8 | Diogo BezerraATT | Rio Avevs Santa Clara | 97% | 0.18 | 0.16 | 3.1 |
| 9 | Óscar RivasDEF | Guimaraesvs Casa Pia | 97% | 0.02 | 0.03 | 3.1 |
| 10 | SamuMID | Guimaraesvs Casa Pia | 97% | 0.14 | 0.06 | 3.1 |
| 11 | GustavoATT | Guimaraesvs Casa Pia | 96% | 0.25 | 0.08 | 3.1 |
| 12 | Adrián ButzkeATT | Maritimovs Benfica | 85% | 0.26 | 0.11 | 3.1 |
| 13 | L. BarreiroMID | Benficavs Maritimo | 80% | 0.09 | 0.24 | 3.1 |
| 14 | Gabriel SilvaATT | Santa Claravs Rio Ave | 97% | 0.17 | 0.16 | 3.0 |
| 15 | David SousaDEF | Casa Piavs Guimaraes | 97% | 0.02 | 0.02 | 2.9 |
Estrela2–2Famalicao
Open the match →Estrela
6/11 right · expected 7.9 · called 4 h before
Season: 6.0/11 over 1 lineups
- GK Léo Linck no recent starts48%0.001.83.84 M✓
- DEF S. Leković 62%0.022.41.81 M✓
- DEF Luan Patrick doubt56%0.012.21.88 M✓
- DEF Bruno Langa 55%0.021.8✗
- DEF M. Scholze doubt54%0.011.71.26 M✓
- MID A. Marcus 97%0.243.63.79 M✓
- MID I. Stoica 63%0.092.13.16 M✓
- MID Eddy Doue doubt57%0.042.31.97 M✓
- ATT Jovane Cabral doubt51%0.101.5✗
- ATT L. Antonetti no recent starts48%0.232.32.71 M✓
- ATT S. van Hooijdonk no recent starts38%0.091.2✗
Probable bench
- DEFJefferson Encadadoubt31%0.011.31.54 M
- DEFBernardo Schappodoubt31%0.011.31.19 M
- DEFRafa Soaresno recent starts31%0.011.71.67 M✓
- MIDB. Souzano recent starts31%0.031.20.26 M
- MIDL. Zvonarekno recent starts31%0.031.41.80 M✓
- MIDSantiago Serrano recent starts31%0.031.20.75 M
- MIDJoan Jordánno recent starts31%0.031.21.10 M
Injured and suspended
No known absences
Famalicao
6/11 right · expected 9.2 · called 4 h before
Season: 6.0/11 over 1 lineups
- GK L. Carević 77%0.002.03.52 M✓
- DEF Rafa Soares 73%0.022.41.67 M✗
- DEF J. de Haas 64%0.021.6✗
- DEF Rodrigo Pinheiro doubt64%0.012.03.37 M✓
- DEF L. Realpe doubt61%0.011.92.79 M✓
- MID Sorriso 97%0.062.55.67 M✓
- MID Mathias De Amorim 78%0.052.23.83 M✓
- MID T. van de Looi 75%0.052.24.19 M✗
- MID Gil Dias 72%0.042.03.02 M✗
- MID S. Elisor 60%0.051.7✗
- ATT G. Koutsias no recent starts44%0.111.53.58 M✓
Probable bench
- DEFIbrahima Badoubt36%0.011.51.90 M
- DEFF. van Breemenno recent starts36%0.051.72.63 M✓
- MIDGustavo Sá36%0.031.2
- MIDPedro Santos36%0.031.21.49 M
- DEFPedro Franciscono recent starts35%0.011.22.08 M✓
- DEFGustavo Garciadoubt34%0.011.10.84 M
- MIDPaulo Moreirano recent starts18%0.020.91.69 M✓
Injured and suspended
No known absences
Maritimo0–3Benfica
Open the match →Maritimo
10/11 right · expected 10.0 · called 7 h before
Season: 10.0/11 over 1 lineups
- GK Alfonso Pastor 87%0.000.92.13 M✓
- DEF Paulo Henrique 97%0.121.72.41 M✓
- DEF Romain Correia 88%0.021.12.33 M✓
- DEF Rafael Fernandes 86%0.021.11.38 M✓
- DEF Igor Julião 83%0.021.11.19 M✓
- MID Martín Tejón 87%0.153.23.73 M✓
- MID Rodrigo Andrade 86%0.062.42.21 M✓
- MID V. Danilović 83%0.062.32.97 M✓
- ATT Adrián Butzke 85%0.263.12.18 M✓
- ATT Maurice Osei Boakye 50%0.202.01.95 M✗
- ATT S. Bamba 50%0.131.71.36 M✗
Probable bench
- MIDRaphael Guzzo41%0.081.72.49 M✓
- MIDM. Diouri41%0.091.6
- ATTB. Limbombe38%0.131.71.33 M✓
- DEFTomás Tavares27%0.010.61.17 M
- MIDM. Dominguez19%0.031.01.23 M
- DEFNilton Varela18%0.010.61.29 M
- MIDI. Ayuma15%0.030.91.30 M
Injured and suspended
No known absences
Benfica
9/11 right · expected 10.4 · called 7 h before
Season: 9.0/11 over 1 lineups
- GK Samuel Soares doubt69%0.001.83.21 M✓
- DEF Tomás Araújo 79%0.032.54.60 M✓
- DEF C. Lenglet doubt71%0.142.73.53 M✓
- DEF A. Bah doubt69%0.032.44.32 M✓
- DEF N. Otamendi 48%0.021.2✗
- MID S. Dahl 82%0.102.73.19 M✓
- MID L. Barreiro 80%0.093.15.68 M✓
- MID H. Sudakov doubt65%0.072.07.41 M✓
- MID E. Barrenechea doubt64%0.072.27.43 M✗
- MID F. Aursnes 53%0.051.5✗
- ATT G. Prestianni 97%0.635.413.37 M✓
Probable bench
- ATTV. Pavlidis39%0.503.519.35 M✓
- ATTRafa39%0.222.06.38 M✓
- DEFAntónio Silva37%0.021.52.81 M
- ATTF. Ivanović34%0.222.0
- ATTA. Schjelderupdoubt32%0.161.77.81 M
- DEFA. Dedićdoubt26%0.021.0
- GKA. Trubindoubt21%0.000.84.09 M
Injured and suspended
No known absences
Alverca1–2SC Braga
Open the match →Alverca
5/11 right · expected 8.3 · called 7 h before
Season: 5.0/11 over 1 lineups
- GK Matheus Mendes 74%0.001.71.10 M✓
- DEF I. James 74%0.022.4✗
- DEF B. Meupiyou 67%0.021.91.59 M✗
- DEF Sergi Gómez 61%0.021.41.03 M✓
- MID Lincoln 60%0.061.7✗
- MID Rhaldney 60%0.061.7✗
- MID Ian Luccas 46%0.071.42.12 M✓
- MID Rayan 43%0.031.32.36 M✓
- ATT Figueiredo 97%0.293.34.95 M✓
- ATT Zoubdi 72%0.132.1✗
- ATT Chiquinho 68%0.172.53.39 M✓
Probable bench
- DEFKaiky Naves35%0.011.1
- DEFS. Baseya35%0.011.31.77 M✓
- DEFY. Bojang35%0.011.21.13 M✓
- ATTSandro Lima35%0.161.7
- ATTVivaldo Semedo35%0.151.61.97 M✓
- MIDD. Gui35%0.031.30.90 M
- DEFFrancisco Chissumba32%0.011.02.34 M
Injured and suspended
No known absences
SC Braga
8/11 right · expected 8.5 · called 7 h before
Season: 8.0/11 over 1 lineups
- GK L. Horníček doubt64%0.001.6✗
- DEF G. Lagerbielke 97%0.032.22.68 M✓
- DEF Víctor Gómez 70%0.021.52.74 M✓
- DEF Diogo Travassos doubt52%0.011.12.78 M✓
- MID E. Tıknaz 70%0.062.43.93 M✓
- MID Vitor Carvalho 70%0.072.62.77 M✓
- MID João Moutinho 67%0.061.92.37 M✓
- MID M. Dorgeles doubt52%0.041.43.13 M✓
- MID Jean-Baptiste Gorby doubt49%0.061.82.81 M✗
- MID Gabriel Moscardo 42%0.041.2✗
- ATT Pau Victor 67%0.252.55.77 M✓
Probable bench
- DEFSergio Barciadoubt34%0.021.41.17 M
- ATTGabriel Silvadoubt34%0.121.94.22 M
- ATTFran Navarrodoubt34%0.161.73.88 M
- ATTRicardo Horta34%0.121.55.79 M
- GKBernardo Fontesdoubt34%0.001.22.05 M✓
- ATTGabri Martínezdoubt33%0.141.62.23 M
- MIDF. Grillitsch31%0.041.2
Injured and suspended
No known absences
Sporting CP2–0Nacional
Open the match →Sporting CP
9/11 right · expected 7.2 · called 4 h before
Season: 9.0/11 over 1 lineups
- GK Rui Silva 97%0.002.44.25 M✓
- DEF Gonçalo Inácio 73%0.022.25.50 M✓
- DEF Eduardo Quaresma doubt61%0.021.63.94 M✗
- DEF Z. Debast doubt56%0.021.74.16 M✓
- DEF Iván Fresneda 50%0.011.33.10 M✓
- MID Sergi Altimira doubt69%0.122.610.33 M✓
- MID R. Zalazar doubt66%0.122.710.26 M✓
- MID I. Doumbia doubt65%0.052.26.72 M✓
- MID Flávio Gonçalves doubt63%0.162.53.48 M✓
- MID H. Morita doubt45%0.041.3✗
- ATT M. Araújo 75%0.283.45.61 M✓
Probable bench
- ATTGeny Catamo37%0.131.910.99 M✓
- ATTF. Ioannidis37%0.212.28.78 M
- ATTL. Suárez37%0.232.013.51 M✓
- DEFG. Vagiannidis37%0.011.42.50 M
- MIDM. Hjulmand28%0.031.1
- MIDPotedoubt28%0.041.2
- ATTTrincão27%0.111.4
Injured and suspended
No known absences
Nacional
5/11 right · expected 6.7 · called 4 h before
Season: 5.0/11 over 1 lineups
- GK Kaique 59%0.000.9✗
- DEF Léo Santos 68%0.071.93.35 M✓
- DEF Zé Vitor doubt63%0.061.73.93 M✓
- DEF José Gomes 59%0.021.00.97 M✗
- DEF Francisco Gonçalves 52%0.010.90.49 M✓
- MID Daniel Júnior 97%0.052.62.50 M✗
- MID Matheus Dias 64%0.041.82.49 M✓
- MID Liziero doubt61%0.082.24.46 M✗
- ATT C. Ramírez 59%0.151.9✗
- ATT Witi 48%0.121.5✗
- ATT Pablo Ruan no recent starts43%0.111.51.89 M✓
Probable bench
- MIDPaulinho Bóia36%0.041.2
- MIDFilipe Soaresdoubt36%0.021.12.00 M
- GKRenato Belluccino recent starts36%0.001.1✓
- MIDC. Labididoubt35%0.041.20.71 M
- DEFA. Núñezdoubt35%0.010.8
- MIDWesley Gasolinano recent starts33%0.051.31.93 M✓
- MIDMiguel Baezano recent starts32%0.051.22.33 M✓
Injured and suspended
No known absences
Santa Clara–Rio Ave
Open the match →Santa Clara
- GK Lucas França no recent starts39%0.001.32.34 M
- DEF Sidney Lima 63%0.022.20.24 M
- DEF Guilherme Romão doubt59%0.012.11.86 M
- DEF Pedro Pacheco doubt57%0.012.01.86 M
- DEF Diogo Calila doubt57%0.012.1
- MID José Luís Rocha Tavares 68%0.031.91.81 M
- MID Pedro Ferreira doubt60%0.032.03.82 M
- MID Serginho doubt56%0.021.4
- ATT Gabriel Silva 97%0.173.04.22 M
- ATT Gonçalo Paciência 68%0.242.42.92 M
- ATT Welinton Torrão 49%0.081.51.66 M
Probable bench
- ATTVinícius Lopes32%0.051.13.77 M
- DEFLucas Soaresdoubt32%0.011.21.62 M
- MIDKlismahn32%0.031.2
- DEFH. Silvadoubt30%0.011.1
- GKGabriel Batistadoubt30%0.001.1
- GKJ. Afonsodoubt27%0.001.00.36 M
- DEFPaulo Victordoubt27%0.011.1
Injured and suspended
No known absences
Rio Ave
- GK E. van der Gouw doubt73%0.002.23.07 M
- DEF Gustavo Mancha 82%0.012.31.78 M
- DEF F. Petrasso 75%0.012.41.84 M
- DEF N. Abbey doubt68%0.012.31.93 M
- DEF G. Liavas doubt66%0.012.22.43 M
- MID T. Nikitscher 78%0.042.02.49 M
- MID A. Ntoi 66%0.041.82.67 M
- MID Ryan Guilherme doubt53%0.041.51.25 M
- MID Ole Pohlmann 49%0.031.4
- MID Diogo Nascimento no recent starts48%0.031.52.22 M
- ATT Diogo Bezerra 97%0.183.1
Probable bench
- GKC. Misztadoubt39%0.001.22.93 M
- DEFJ. Brabec39%0.011.31.77 M
- ATTD. Špikić39%0.091.42.63 M
- ATTM. Vrousai39%0.091.42.33 M
- ATTTamble Monteiro39%0.111.62.36 M
- ATTJ. Blesa39%0.111.93.61 M
- MIDR. Galčíkno recent starts28%0.031.41.88 M
Injured and suspended
No known absences
Guimaraes–Casa Pia
Open the match →Guimaraes
- GK O. Zych doubt68%0.002.32.21 M
- DEF Óscar Rivas 97%0.023.12.24 M
- DEF João Mendes 86%0.022.92.74 M
- DEF Thiago Balieiro 86%0.022.91.52 M
- DEF T. Strata 65%0.012.22.59 M
- MID Samu 97%0.143.15.76 M
- MID Gonçalo Nogueira 78%0.042.13.15 M
- MID A. Ndoye doubt66%0.092.32.60 M
- MID Miguel Nogueira 63%0.042.12.20 M
- MID Beni doubt56%0.041.53.43 M
- ATT Gustavo 96%0.253.1
Probable bench
- MIDL. Doucet34%0.031.22.01 M
- ATTO. Camara30%0.081.22.99 M
- DEFMiguel Maga26%0.011.11.59 M
- GKCharlesdoubt21%0.000.9
- ATTN. Saviolo18%0.081.1
- DEFR. Abascal10%0.010.7
- DEFF. Dias10%0.010.70.80 M
Injured and suspended
No known absences
Casa Pia
- GK André Gomes doubt64%0.002.12.79 M
- DEF David Sousa 97%0.022.91.47 M
- DEF João Goulart 76%0.012.41.65 M
- DEF Geraldes 71%0.012.41.39 M
- MID L. Ofori 70%0.032.11.47 M
- MID S. Pérez 62%0.031.61.81 M
- MID Silvi 50%0.021.3
- MID Gabi Pereira 43%0.021.1
- ATT Rochinha doubt61%0.071.62.17 M
- ATT Henrique Araújo doubt58%0.071.51.18 M
- ATT K. Prieto doubt48%0.071.31.71 M
Probable bench
- DEFAbdu Contédoubt35%0.011.40.98 M
- DEFPedro Rosasdoubt35%0.011.31.85 M
- ATTA. Jatta35%0.061.21.80 M
- ATTD. Livramento35%0.061.2
- GKP. Sequeiradoubt29%0.001.11.57 M
- DEFGaizka Larrazabaldoubt29%0.011.1
- ATTJoão Marques23%0.071.1
Injured and suspended
No known absences
GIL Vicente–Academico Viseu
Open the match →GIL Vicente
- GK Lucão doubt58%0.001.62.21 M
- DEF Jonathan Buatu 97%0.032.42.68 M
- DEF M. Elimbi Gilbert 68%0.022.0
- DEF Ricardo Esgaio doubt58%0.021.82.37 M
- DEF G. Konan 54%0.021.6
- MID F. Cáseres 73%0.062.0
- MID Santi García 72%0.072.43.40 M
- MID Gil Pinto Martins doubt55%0.101.91.24 M
- MID A. Lausen doubt49%0.041.41.56 M
- MID Luís Esteves doubt45%0.051.4
- ATT Héctor Hernández 62%0.272.72.74 M
Probable bench
- GKDaniel Figueiradoubt36%0.001.0
- DEFZé Carlosdoubt36%0.021.1
- DEFWeversondoubt36%0.011.11.83 M
- ATTGustavo Varela36%0.242.3
- ATTMurilodoubt36%0.131.62.42 M
- ATTJoelson Fernandesdoubt36%0.101.5
- MIDM. Fernández29%0.041.20.95 M
Injured and suspended
No known absences
Academico Viseu
- GK Ewerton 97%0.001.92.89 M
- DEF Robinho 89%0.022.32.25 M
- DEF A. Correia 89%0.022.32.03 M
- DEF N. Michelis 64%0.021.41.54 M
- DEF Pedro Barcelos 53%0.011.11.93 M
- MID S. Messeguem 88%0.152.92.03 M
- MID C. Kahraman 75%0.052.22.15 M
- MID A. Mestanza 62%0.041.62.03 M
- ATT João Guilherme 90%0.202.92.37 M
- ATT André Clóvis 76%0.282.74.97 M
- ATT L. Gohi 52%0.121.61.80 M
Probable bench
- DEFRúben Pereira41%0.071.41.81 M
- ATTÁ. Zamora41%0.111.51.53 M
- MIDAndré Ceitil34%0.031.21.28 M
- DEFIgor Milioransa33%0.011.00.88 M
- DEFG. Costa23%0.010.80.54 M
- MIDLuís Silva22%0.031.01.11 M
- ATTD. Steczyk19%0.081.10.94 M
Injured and suspended
No known absences
Estoril–Arouca
Open the match →Estoril
- GK Joel Robles 65%0.002.22.55 M
- DEF A. Tsoungui 73%0.012.41.53 M
- DEF Ferro 69%0.012.42.38 M
- DEF Ricard Sánchez 64%0.011.92.45 M
- MID Xeka 66%0.041.80.83 M
- MID João Carvalho 65%0.042.14.28 M
- MID Jandro Orellana doubt49%0.041.4
- MID Pizzi 42%0.041.2
- ATT Y. Begraoui 97%0.333.59.31 M
- ATT André Lacximicant 65%0.101.82.35 M
- ATT R. Guitane no recent starts46%0.081.33.87 M
Probable bench
- GKM. Turk34%0.001.20.28 M
- DEFF. Bacherdoubt34%0.051.8
- DEFFernando Medranodoubt34%0.011.51.73 M
- DEFIsma Sierradoubt34%0.011.61.89 M
- DEFPedro Amaraldoubt34%0.011.31.17 M
- DEFPedro Carvalho34%0.011.42.00 M
- DEFS. Andreoudoubt34%0.011.31.61 M
Injured and suspended
No known absences
Arouca
- GK I. de Arruabarrena 97%0.002.62.37 M
- DEF José Fontán 82%0.082.92.99 M
- DEF Javi Sánchez 81%0.022.52.85 M
- DEF Tiago Esgaio 81%0.022.52.79 M
- DEF B. Kuipers 67%0.021.9
- MID E. van Ee 82%0.102.43.14 M
- MID T. Fukui 81%0.052.35.41 M
- MID Lee Hyun-Ju 76%0.042.1
- MID Pablo Gozálbez 75%0.052.12.28 M
- MID Mateo Flores 47%0.031.31.86 M
- ATT N. Djouahra 81%0.142.95.22 M
Probable bench
- DEFO. Lebedenko38%0.011.31.60 M
- ATTA. Trezza38%0.071.53.24 M
- ATTBarbero38%0.171.73.74 M
- ATTD. Nandín38%0.131.62.30 M
- MIDPedro Santos29%0.031.12.19 M
- MIDB. Mansilla26%0.031.01.53 M
- DEFDiogo Monteiro9%0.010.70.27 M
Injured and suspended
No known absences
% = start probability · xG = the player's expected goals in this match · ✓/✗ = actual starter once the lineup is confirmed. Model v1: recent confirmed lineups, season minutes, injuries and suspensions, rotation. Not dressing-room information. pts = expected points in this match on the standard scale (appearance 1, 60 minutes +1, goal 6 defenders and keepers / 5 midfielders / 4 forwards, assist 3, clean sheet 4 / 1, goal conceded −0.5 for keepers and defenders).
Frequently asked questions
What are the Primeira Liga predicted lineups for matchday 5?
This matchday has 8 matches with a probable XI: Estrela – Famalicao, Maritimo – Benfica, Alverca – SC Braga, Sporting CP – Nacional, Santa Clara – Rio Ave, Guimaraes – Casa Pia, GIL Vicente – Academico Viseu, Estoril – Arouca. Each XI is computed from every player's start probability and graded in public against the confirmed lineup.
Who is injured or suspended on Primeira Liga matchday 5?
No known absences in this matchday's teams.
When are the Primeira Liga predicted lineups updated?
Every morning and at noon until kickoff. The version published at least three hours before the start is frozen and graded against the confirmed lineup, which arrives an hour before.
The model's analysis, free on Telegram
Every day: one model analysis and yesterday's result, published win or lose. No 90% promises — the full graded track record is public.