The model's daily · Tuesday, September 8

Today's board

Explore a match free See the board Probable lineups this matchday →

API-Football data · we compare every price against Pinnacle, the reference book used by professionals · full public track record, wins and losses included · verified CLV (we usually get better odds than the closing line). Picks are informational; outcomes are uncertain.

The board · what the model sees

FutPicks provides analysis and tracking tools, not tips. Outcomes are uncertain and you decide whether and how to bet. 18+ — gamble responsibly. Responsible gambling & help

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Compare the model's probability against the bookmaker's odds and see where the value is. Free, no signup.

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Everything you can do right now, for free

Beyond the signal: explore every match, calculate fair odds, track your bets, and get alerts when value appears

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Match Explorer

Research any match in depth: what the market says, how the odds moved, and how similar matches turned out.

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Odds Calculator

See how much margin the bookmaker charges, the real probability behind any odds, whether a bet has value, and how much to stake (devig, EV and Kelly). Free, no signup.

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Tracker

Log your bets and see if you're actually beating the market: your ROI and whether you get better odds than the closing line (CLV).

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Alerts

Set your edge and market rules and get Telegram alerts the moment model signals return.

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Every day: one model analysis and yesterday's result, published win or lose. No 90% promises — the full graded track record is public.

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How we find value

From match data to a settled, public result — nothing hidden.

Explore the match data

Lineups, odds, and stats from Europe's top leagues, gathered for every matchday — everything you need to read the match.

The model's probability

The model analyzes each match and estimates the real probability of every outcome, with a confidence level for each one.

Where the value is

We compare that probability against Pinnacle, the sharpest reference book in the market. When the model sees more value than the odds reflect, the pick is rated Strong or Value.

Results, nothing hidden

Every pick is recorded after the match and added to the complete public record — wins and losses, nothing cherry-picked.

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Anatomy of a model signal

Every model signal runs the same process. Here's what each field looks at and what it means.

Sample market analysis — not a live signal

Team A vs Team B — Over 2.5 GoalsStrong

Model probability68%What the model believes will happen, combining recent form, head-to-head history, each team's strength, lineups, and expected goals. Here: 68 out of 100 times.

Reference line (Pinnacle)Odds 1.87, implying 57% probabilityPinnacle's price (the reference book used by professionals) converted to probability: it's what the market thinks.

Edge (advantage)+11%The gap between what the model believes (68%) and what the market prices (57%). The bigger the edge, the more the odds overpay relative to the real risk. We only publish picks that clear a minimum edge threshold.

Confidence0.72Agreement between the different analysis pieces and how much data was available. Runs from 0 to 1: 0.72 means reasonable agreement and good data.

Lineup statusConfirmed ✓Scored with the confirmed starting lineups when available (~90 min before kick-off)

SettlementWON +0.90 unitsEvery pick is settled after the match and added to the public record — losers included, never hidden.

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Markets we cover

We analyze 13 markets per match. We only show the ones that pass our validation publicly — the rest stay in testing.

Validated (public)

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Match Result (1X2)

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Over/Under 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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1st-half Result

In validation

Over/Under 1.5Over/Under 3.5Double ChanceAsian HandicapTeam TotalsCornersCards1st-half GoalsTeam Totals (1st half)

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