Premier League predicted lineups · Matchday 3 2026/27

Each team's probable XI (possible lineup) with every player's start probability, plus the matchday's injured and suspended players. Recomputed every morning and at noon; the version published three hours before kickoff is the one graded against the confirmed lineup.

7.1/11 starters right on average · 14 lineups graded

Matchday 3 bargains

Most expected points per million of price, among players at least 60 % likely to start. A cheap player who does not play is not a bargain.

#PlayerTeamPriceYesterdayptspts per million
1W. HughesMIDCrystal Palacevs Fulham0.92 M−10 k2.62.83
2L. TchaounaMIDCoventryvs Manchester City0.86 M−10 k2.32.67
3M. BelloumiMIDHull Cityvs Aston Villa1.65 M+40 k4.02.42
4S. van den BergMIDBrentfordvs Sunderland1.33 M−10 k3.12.33
5G. GudmundssonMIDLeedsvs Brighton0.78 M+30 k1.72.18
6J. LermaMIDCrystal Palacevs Fulham1.23 M−20 k2.62.11
7JairDEFNottingham Forestvs Tottenham1.22 M+30 k2.52.05
8R. ChristieMIDBournemouthvs Newcastle1.02 M−10 k2.01.96
9C. RiggMIDSunderlandvs Brentford0.99 M1.91.92
10B. Thomas-AsanteATTCoventryvs Manchester City1.23 M−10 k2.31.87

Prices from Biwenger, refreshed every morning. The expected points are our model's.

Expected points, matchday 3

The players with the most expected points according to the model: start probability, minutes, expected goals and assists and clean sheet, on the standard position-weighted scale (goal 6/5/4, assist 3, clean sheet 4/1). Works for any fantasy game: the ranking survives a different scale.

#PlayerTeamstartxGxApts
1E. HaalandATTManchester Cityvs Coventry96%1.300.297.9
2R. CherkiMIDManchester Cityvs Coventry86%0.660.627.0
3P. GroßMIDBrightonvs Leeds95%0.690.306.5
4K. Lewis-PotterDEFBrentfordvs Sunderland93%0.390.446.3
5K. SchadeMIDBrentfordvs Sunderland97%0.570.265.8
6ThiagoATTBrentfordvs Sunderland89%0.660.325.4
7M. GuéhiDEFManchester Cityvs Coventry97%0.390.095.3
8M. KayodeDEFBrentfordvs Sunderland92%0.360.095.1
9D. GómezMIDBrightonvs Leeds77%0.240.554.8
10O. McBurnieATTHull Cityvs Aston Villa92%0.540.214.6
11A. SemenyoMIDManchester Cityvs Coventry90%0.220.484.6
12Bruno FernandesMIDManchester Unitedvs Everton97%0.340.194.3
13A. ElangaATTNewcastlevs Bournemouth72%0.600.144.3
14R. SlaterMIDHull Cityvs Aston Villa95%0.190.394.2
15S. AjayiDEFHull Cityvs Aston Villa92%0.270.064.2
Sat, Sep 5, 11:30 AM

Newcastle2–2Bournemouth

Open the match →
NewcastleNEW4-3-34-2-3-1BOUBournemouth
L. Horníček60%L. Hall97%M. Thiaw81%S. Botman80%F. Schär47%S. Tonali79%H. Barnes71%A. Ramsdale68%A. Elanga72%Y. Wissa59%N. Woltemade50%Đ. Petrović88%A. Truffert88%J. Hill87%M. Senesi80%Álex Jiménez79%A. Scott97%M. Tavernier88%R. Christie70%E. Kroupi67%D. Brooks50%Evanilson84%

Newcastle

4-3-3 confirmed lineup · 4-2-3-1

7/11 right · expected 7.6 · called 1 h before

Season: 7.0/11 over 1 lineups

  1. GK L. Horníček 60%0.001.53.39 M✓
  2. DEF L. Hall 97%0.052.24.17 M✓
  3. DEF M. Thiaw 81%0.042.04.09 M✓
  4. DEF S. Botman 80%0.042.03.05 M✓
  5. DEF F. Schär 47%0.031.10.53 M✗
  6. MID S. Tonali 79%0.122.86.24 M✗
  7. MID H. Barnes 71%0.122.74.17 M✓
  8. MID A. Ramsdale 68%0.122.4✗
  9. ATT A. Elanga 72%0.604.35.21 M✓
  10. ATT Y. Wissa 59%0.403.74.47 M✓
  11. ATT N. Woltemade 50%0.252.6✗

Probable bench

  1. MIDJoelinton38%0.081.61.86 M
  2. MIDT. Livramento38%0.081.61.00 M
  3. MIDSean Steur38%0.071.51.22 M
  4. MIDA. Gordon38%0.102.1
  5. MIDJ. Murphy38%0.081.62.50 M
  6. MIDJ. Willock38%0.162.02.31 M✓
  7. MIDJ. Ramsey38%0.081.63.12 M

Injured and suspended

  • L. MileyMID · out
  • W. OsulaATT · out

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1 confirmed lineup

6/11 right · expected 8.8 · called 1 h before

Season: 6.0/11 over 1 lineups

  1. GK Đ. Petrović 88%0.001.04.17 M✓
  2. DEF A. Truffert 88%0.031.34.12 M✓
  3. DEF J. Hill 87%0.031.33.09 M✓
  4. DEF M. Senesi 80%0.041.45.55 M✗
  5. DEF Álex Jiménez 79%0.031.0✗
  6. MID A. Scott 97%0.263.57.03 M✓
  7. MID M. Tavernier 88%0.243.36.06 M✓
  8. MID R. Christie 70%0.092.01.02 M✗
  9. MID E. Kroupi 67%0.082.02.60 M✗
  10. MID D. Brooks doubt50%0.061.50.95 M✗
  11. ATT Evanilson 84%0.263.84.28 M✓

Probable bench

  1. DEFA. Smithno recent starts41%0.021.10.73 M✓
  2. ATTRayandoubt41%0.162.24.87 M✓
  3. ATTJ. Kluivertno recent starts40%0.151.93.72 M✓
  4. MIDL. Cookno recent starts36%0.041.32.25 M
  5. MIDT. Adamsno recent starts12%0.030.82.67 M✓
  6. ATTD. Jebbisonno recent starts11%0.091.10.45 M
  7. ATTÁ. Rodríguezno recent starts8%0.080.91.82 M

Injured and suspended

  • J. SolerDEF · out
  • M. Di GregorioGK · out
Sat, Sep 5, 02:00 PM

Nottingham Forest0–0Tottenham

Open the match →
Nottingham ForestNOT4-2-3-14-2-3-1TOTTottenham
M. Sels72%Murillo80%N. Milenković71%Jair64%L. Netz46%N. Williams97%O. Aina79%E. Anderson71%O. Hutchinson67%J. McAtee56%C. Wood64%A. Kinský97%D. Udogie73%C. Romero60%K. Danso60%A. Gray54%R. Bentancur75%C. Gallagher73%M. Tel65%João Palhinha57%S. Tonali49%R. Kolo Muani86%

Nottingham Forest

4-2-3-1 confirmed lineup · 3-4-2-1

7/11 right · expected 10.1 · called 4 h before

Season: 7.0/11 over 1 lineups

  1. GK M. Sels 72%0.002.33.29 M✓
  2. DEF Murillo 80%0.052.92.87 M✓
  3. DEF N. Milenković 71%0.042.72.73 M✓
  4. DEF Jair 64%0.042.51.22 M✓
  5. DEF L. Netz no recent starts46%0.031.60.61 M✗
  6. MID N. Williams 97%0.183.74.62 M✓
  7. MID O. Aina 79%0.143.11.99 M✓
  8. MID E. Anderson 71%0.112.510.73 M✗
  9. MID O. Hutchinson 67%0.142.6✗
  10. MID J. McAtee no recent starts56%0.102.21.98 M✓
  11. ATT C. Wood 64%0.373.31.99 M✗

Probable bench

  1. GKS. Ortega38%0.001.3
  2. MIDN. Domínguez38%0.091.81.41 M
  3. MIDX. Schlagerno recent starts38%0.081.72.28 M✓
  4. ATTD. Bakwadoubt38%0.362.7
  5. ATTD. Ndoye38%0.322.53.27 M✓
  6. ATTC. Hudson-Odoi38%0.282.51.55 M
  7. ATTIgor Jesus38%0.252.63.65 M

Injured and suspended

  • I. SangaréMID · out
  • M. Gibbs-WhiteATT · out

Tottenham

4-2-3-1 confirmed lineup

5/11 right · expected 10.3 · called 4 h before

Season: 5.0/11 over 1 lineups

  1. GK A. Kinský 97%0.000.82.85 M✓
  2. DEF D. Udogie 73%0.020.71.46 M✓
  3. DEF C. Romero 60%0.051.1✗
  4. DEF K. Danso 60%0.020.6✗
  5. DEF A. Gray 54%0.010.61.55 M✗
  6. MID R. Bentancur 75%0.051.92.17 M✓
  7. MID C. Gallagher 73%0.061.92.79 M✓
  8. MID M. Tel doubt65%0.051.82.40 M✓
  9. MID João Palhinha doubt57%0.051.5✗
  10. MID S. Tonali no recent starts49%0.041.46.24 M✓
  11. ATT R. Kolo Muani 86%0.212.9✗

Probable bench

  1. DEFA. Robertsonno recent starts40%0.010.83.29 M
  2. DEFJ. van Heckeno recent starts40%0.011.06.59 M✓
  3. ATTRicharlison40%0.111.52.95 M
  4. ATTD. Solankedoubt40%0.121.62.86 M
  5. MIDMateus Fernandesno recent starts36%0.031.27.15 M
  6. DEFM. Senesino recent starts32%0.010.95.55 M
  7. MIDY. Bissouma28%0.031.1

Injured and suspended

  • M. van de VenDEF · out
  • Pedro PorroDEF · out
  • J. MaddisonMID · out
Sat, Sep 5, 02:00 PM

Fulham2–3Crystal Palace

Open the match →
FulhamFUL4-2-3-13-4-2-1CRYCrystal Palace
B. Leno82%C. Bassey97%T. Castagne81%J. Andersen73%A. Robinson47%S. Lukić73%S. Berge66%A. Iwobi65%S. Chukwueze65%R. Sessegnon59%H. Wilson77%D. Henderson97%M. Lacroix97%J. Canvot87%C. Richards87%T. Mitchell88%Yeremy Pino80%W. Hughes67%J. Lerma67%D. Kamada51%A. Wharton50%Larsen79%

Fulham

4-2-3-1 confirmed lineup

7/11 right · expected 9.9 · called 4 h before

Season: 7.0/11 over 1 lineups

  1. GK B. Leno 82%0.000.83.42 M✓
  2. DEF C. Bassey 97%0.051.22.56 M✓
  3. DEF T. Castagne 81%0.041.61.93 M✓
  4. DEF J. Andersen 73%0.051.32.40 M✓
  5. DEF A. Robinson 47%0.030.82.82 M✓
  6. MID S. Lukić 73%0.112.92.12 M✗
  7. MID S. Berge 66%0.102.12.94 M✗
  8. MID A. Iwobi doubt65%0.112.55.14 M✓
  9. MID S. Chukwueze doubt65%0.112.9✗
  10. MID R. Sessegnon 59%0.101.91.15 M✗
  11. ATT H. Wilson 77%0.343.25.89 M✗

Probable bench

  1. MIDE. Smith Rowe39%0.081.6
  2. MIDJoshua King39%0.182.42.68 M✓
  3. ATTR. Jiménezdoubt39%0.402.9
  4. MIDOscar Bobb34%0.061.42.80 M✓
  5. ATTRodrigo Munizdoubt34%0.232.11.14 M
  6. ATTGonzalo Garcíano recent starts32%0.292.56.70 M✓
  7. MIDCésar Palaciosno recent starts24%0.051.21.87 M✓

Injured and suspended

  • L. De FougerollesDEF · out

Crystal Palace

3-4-2-1 confirmed lineup

7/11 right · expected 8.5 · called 1 h before

Season: 7.0/11 over 1 lineups

  1. GK D. Henderson 97%0.001.14.00 M✓
  2. DEF M. Lacroix 97%0.072.55.73 M✗
  3. DEF J. Canvot 87%0.061.62.06 M✓
  4. DEF C. Richards 87%0.061.62.37 M✓
  5. MID T. Mitchell 88%0.193.42.76 M✓
  6. MID Yeremy Pino 80%0.162.83.36 M✓
  7. MID W. Hughes 67%0.162.60.92 M✗
  8. MID J. Lerma 67%0.162.61.23 M✗
  9. MID D. Kamada 51%0.112.23.75 M✓
  10. MID A. Wharton 50%0.112.26.29 M✓
  11. ATT J. Strand Larsen 79%0.474.02.44 M✗

Probable bench

  1. DEFD. Muñoz41%0.040.9
  2. ATTB. Johnson41%0.322.72.37 M
  3. ATTA. Khalaili30%0.232.03.57 M✓
  4. ATTE. Nketiah29%0.222.01.63 M✓
  5. DEFT. Tomiyasu21%0.020.71.00 M
  6. ATTD. McNeil20%0.191.71.38 M
  7. ATTE. Guessand15%0.171.51.27 M

Injured and suspended

  • C. RiadDEF · out
  • J. MatetaATT · out
Sat, Sep 5, 02:00 PM

Manchester City1–0Coventry

Open the match →
Manchester CityMAN4-2-3-14-3-3COVCoventry
G. Donnarumma93%M. Guéhi97%A. Khusanov93%O'Reilly85%R. Aït-Nouri56%J. Doku92%A. Semenyo90%Silva90%R. Cherki86%Matheus Nunes66%E. Haaland96%C. Rushworth97%M. van Ewijk97%A. Amenda97%J. Dasilva97%B. Thomas97%M. Grimes97%L. Tchaouna91%J. Rudoni69%T. Awoniyi80%Thomas-Asante72%E. Simms63%

Manchester City

4-2-3-1 confirmed lineup

7/11 right · expected 9.4 · called 1 h before

Season: 7.0/11 over 1 lineups

  1. GK G. Donnarumma 93%0.002.75.76 M✓
  2. DEF M. Guéhi 97%0.395.37.95 M✓
  3. DEF A. Khusanov 93%0.073.33.41 M✓
  4. DEF N. O'Reilly 85%0.063.0✓
  5. DEF R. Aït-Nouri 56%0.052.01.54 M✗
  6. MID J. Doku 92%0.143.1✗
  7. MID A. Semenyo 90%0.224.610.40 M✓
  8. MID Bernardo Silva 90%0.173.3✗
  9. MID R. Cherki 86%0.667.012.24 M✓
  10. MID Matheus Nunes 66%0.162.73.32 M✗
  11. ATT E. Haaland 96%1.307.919.40 M✓

Probable bench

  1. DEFRúben Dias30%0.031.66.19 M✓
  2. DEFJ. Gvardiol27%0.132.37.24 M✓
  3. MIDP. Foden26%0.082.38.38 M
  4. MIDM. Kovačić10%0.061.02.42 M
  5. DEFR. Lewis10%0.020.81.13 M
  6. MIDA. Bouaddi8%0.051.05.63 M
  7. MIDJ. Grealish6%0.050.9

Injured and suspended

  • E. AndersonMID · out

Coventry

4-3-3 confirmed lineup · 3-4-2-1

8/11 right · expected 10.1 · called 4 h before

Season: 8.0/11 over 1 lineups

  1. GK C. Rushworth 97%0.000.32.70 M✓
  2. DEF M. van Ewijk 97%0.030.51.30 M✓
  3. DEF A. Amenda 97%0.030.51.49 M✓
  4. DEF J. Dasilva 97%0.030.50.99 M✓
  5. DEF B. Thomas 97%0.030.51.84 M✓
  6. MID M. Grimes 97%0.092.62.46 M✓
  7. MID L. Tchaouna 91%0.072.30.86 M✗
  8. MID J. Rudoni 69%0.061.82.05 M✓
  9. ATT T. Awoniyi 80%0.192.51.35 M✓
  10. ATT B. Thomas-Asante 72%0.172.31.23 M✗
  11. ATT E. Simms 63%0.162.11.18 M✗

Probable bench

  1. MIDE. Mason-Clark39%0.041.31.70 M✓
  2. MIDV. Torp35%0.041.21.57 M
  3. MIDT. Sakamoto31%0.041.10.89 M
  4. MIDG. Hamer24%0.031.01.35 M
  5. GKD. Bentley2%0.000.00.28 M
  6. GKB. Wilson2%0.000.00.23 M
  7. DEFL. Kitching2%0.000.0

Injured and suspended

  • F. OnyekaMID · out
Sat, Sep 5, 02:00 PM

Brighton1–1Leeds

Open the match →
BrightonBRI4-2-3-13-4-2-1LEELeeds
B. Verbruggen91%J. van Hecke97%O. Boscagli94%F. Kadıoğlu82%L. Vušković59%P. Groß95%D. Gómez77%Y. Minteh73%Y. Ayari63%K. Mitoma54%D. Welbeck56%K. Darlow68%J. Bijol86%P. Struijk68%Muharemović52%E. Ampadu97%J. Justin97%J. Bogle88%B. Aaronson84%A. Tanaka76%Gudmundsson68%Calvert-Lewin90%

Brighton

4-2-3-1 confirmed lineup

7/11 right · expected 8.4 · called 1 h before

Season: 7.0/11 over 1 lineups

  1. GK B. Verbruggen 91%0.002.74.52 M✓
  2. DEF J. van Hecke 97%0.103.76.59 M✗
  3. DEF O. Boscagli 94%0.103.62.39 M✓
  4. DEF F. Kadıoğlu 82%0.103.42.35 M✓
  5. DEF L. Vušković no recent starts59%0.062.63.63 M✓
  6. MID P. Groß 95%0.696.56.17 M✓
  7. MID D. Gómez doubt77%0.244.83.32 M✓
  8. MID Y. Minteh 73%0.253.62.30 M✗
  9. MID Y. Ayari doubt63%0.192.92.67 M✓
  10. MID K. Mitoma doubt54%0.182.71.52 M✗
  11. ATT D. Welbeck doubt56%0.574.12.26 M✗

Probable bench

  1. DEFM. De Cuyperno recent starts44%0.253.34.23 M✓
  2. DEFL. Dunkno recent starts44%0.052.33.25 M✓
  3. MIDC. Balebadoubt44%0.182.5
  4. ATTC. Kostoulasno recent starts32%0.342.71.09 M✓
  5. MIDM. Yalcouyéno recent starts31%0.272.61.74 M✓
  6. DEFCostinhano recent starts15%0.031.10.94 M
  7. ATTI. Osmanno recent starts13%0.251.90.58 M

Injured and suspended

  • G. RutterATT · out
  • M. WiefferMID · out
  • J. HinshelwoodMID · out
  • M. O'RileyMID · out
  • M. SvobodaDEF · out

Leeds

3-4-2-1 confirmed lineup

7/11 right · expected 8.7 · called 1 h before

Season: 7.0/11 over 1 lineups

  1. GK K. Darlow 68%0.000.10.48 M✗
  2. DEF J. Bijol 86%0.020.32.96 M✗
  3. DEF P. Struijk 68%0.020.30.89 M✗
  4. DEF T. Muharemović no recent starts52%0.010.63.27 M✓
  5. MID E. Ampadu 97%0.062.45.09 M✓
  6. MID J. Justin 97%0.062.42.83 M✓
  7. MID J. Bogle 88%0.052.31.81 M✓
  8. MID B. Aaronson 84%0.052.02.76 M✗
  9. MID A. Tanaka 76%0.051.91.31 M✓
  10. MID G. Gudmundsson 68%0.051.70.78 M✓
  11. ATT D. Calvert-Lewin 90%0.263.14.39 M✓

Probable bench

  1. ATTN. Okafor43%0.091.51.78 M✓
  2. GKJ. Traffordno recent starts43%0.000.64.14 M✓
  3. MIDA. Stachno recent starts43%0.081.94.82 M✓
  4. ATTH. Wilsonno recent starts29%0.071.25.89 M
  5. DEFN. Elvedino recent starts15%0.010.41.65 M✓
  6. ATTD. Jamesno recent starts11%0.050.80.72 M
  7. ATTL. Nmechano recent starts11%0.050.91.56 M

Injured and suspended

  • J. RodonDEF · out
Sat, Sep 5, 02:00 PM

Brentford1–1Sunderland

Open the match →
BrentfordBRE4-2-3-14-2-3-1SUNSunderland
C. Kelleher94%Lewis-Potter93%M. Kayode92%N. Collins91%K. Ajer54%K. Schade97%D. Ouattara83%M. Damsgaard83%Y. Yarmolyuk76%Berg70%Thiago89%R. Roefs90%Reinildo92%N. Mukiele86%O'Nien78%O. Alderete74%G. Xhaka97%E. Le Fée89%N. Sadiki89%C. Rigg74%T. Hume54%B. Brobbey85%

Brentford

4-2-3-1 confirmed lineup

9/11 right · expected 10.0 · called 4 h before

Season: 9.0/11 over 1 lineups

  1. GK C. Kelleher 94%0.002.75.32 M✓
  2. DEF K. Lewis-Potter 93%0.396.33.77 M✓
  3. DEF M. Kayode 92%0.365.14.42 M✓
  4. DEF N. Collins 91%0.083.42.76 M✓
  5. DEF K. Ajer 54%0.052.33.27 M✓
  6. MID K. Schade 97%0.575.84.71 M✓
  7. MID D. Ouattara 83%0.193.44.25 M✓
  8. MID M. Damsgaard 83%0.193.45.36 M✓
  9. MID Y. Yarmolyuk 76%0.193.32.06 M✗
  10. MID S. van den Berg 70%0.193.11.33 M✗
  11. ATT Thiago 89%0.665.48.43 M✓

Probable bench

  1. MIDV. Janelt44%0.303.43.70 M✓
  2. MIDM. Sangaré40%0.112.74.25 M✓
  3. ATTJ. Anthony25%0.252.13.09 M
  4. ATTC. Wilson11%0.191.61.42 M
  5. DEFA. Hickey10%0.020.90.97 M
  6. DEFR. Henry3%0.020.70.50 M
  7. GKH. Valdimarsson2%0.000.10.21 M

Injured and suspended

  • A. MilamboUNK · out
  • J. DasilvaUNK · out
  • M. JensenMID · out

Sunderland

4-2-3-1 confirmed lineup · 5-4-1

7/11 right · expected 9.1 · called 1 h before

Season: 7.0/11 over 1 lineups

  1. GK R. Roefs 90%0.000.33.47 M✓
  2. DEF Reinildo 92%0.030.5✓
  3. DEF N. Mukiele 86%0.030.63.07 M✓
  4. DEF L. O'Nien 78%0.020.4✗
  5. DEF O. Alderete 74%0.020.41.74 M✗
  6. MID G. Xhaka 97%0.082.59.09 M✓
  7. MID E. Le Fée 89%0.072.44.46 M✓
  8. MID N. Sadiki 89%0.072.43.16 M✓
  9. MID C. Rigg 74%0.061.90.99 M✗
  10. MID T. Hume 54%0.041.62.39 M✗
  11. ATT B. Brobbey 85%0.182.63.20 M✓

Probable bench

  1. DEFT. Meunier44%0.010.81.60 M✓
  2. DEFD. Ballard44%0.010.82.11 M✓
  3. ATTN. Angulo37%0.141.60.30 M✓
  4. ATTW. Isidor19%0.101.21.56 M
  5. ATTC. Talbi11%0.060.91.20 M
  6. ATTR. Mundle3%0.050.70.29 M
  7. GKM. Ellborg2%0.000.00.27 M

Injured and suspended

  • H. DiarraMID · out
Sat, Sep 5, 04:30 PM

Hull City0–0Aston Villa

Open the match →
Hull CityHUL4-3-34-2-3-1ASTAston Villa
K. Tzolakis97%J. Egan97%S. Ajayi92%N. Mendy85%C. Drameh61%L. Herrington59%R. Slater95%R. Giles95%M. Belloumi91%L. Millar60%O. McBurnie92%E. Martínez66%M. Cash68%L. Digne63%Pau Torres61%E. Konsa56%M. Rogers97%Y. Tielemans69%J. McGinn68%A. Onana65%E. Buendía60%N. Jackson40%

Hull City

4-3-3 confirmed lineup · 5-4-1

9/11 right · expected 10.6 · called 6 h before

Season: 9.0/11 over 1 lineups

  1. GK K. Tzolakis 97%0.002.53.83 M✓
  2. DEF J. Egan 97%0.063.02.57 M✓
  3. DEF S. Ajayi 92%0.274.22.57 M✓
  4. DEF N. Mendy 85%0.243.73.01 M✓
  5. DEF C. Drameh 61%0.041.9✗
  6. DEF L. Herrington 59%0.041.80.97 M✗
  7. MID R. Slater 95%0.194.22.43 M✓
  8. MID R. Giles 95%0.183.52.20 M✓
  9. MID M. Belloumi 91%0.184.01.65 M✓
  10. MID L. Millar 60%0.273.0✗
  11. ATT O. McBurnie 92%0.544.62.65 M✓

Probable bench

  1. MIDL. Gourna-Douath43%0.101.90.43 M✓
  2. MIDH. Morita43%0.101.91.22 M
  3. DEFP. McNair28%0.031.20.41 M
  4. DEFM. Targett25%0.031.10.68 M
  5. DEFM. Jacob2%0.000.1
  6. DEFC. Hughes2%0.000.10.62 M
  7. DEFC. McCarthy2%0.000.1

Injured and suspended

  • M. CrooksMID · out
  • L. CoyleDEF · out

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1 confirmed lineup

7/11 right · expected 9.3 · called 6 h before

Season: 7.0/11 over 1 lineups

  1. GK E. Martínez 66%0.001.13.65 M✗
  2. DEF M. Cash 68%0.021.33.21 M✓
  3. DEF L. Digne 63%0.010.9✗
  4. DEF Pau Torres 61%0.021.22.44 M✗
  5. DEF E. Konsa 56%0.020.84.08 M✗
  6. MID M. Rogers 97%0.233.710.83 M✗
  7. MID Y. Tielemans 69%0.072.09.12 M✗
  8. MID J. McGinn 68%0.072.24.29 M✓
  9. MID A. Onana 65%0.061.7✗
  10. MID E. Buendía doubt60%0.062.04.06 M✓
  11. ATT N. Jackson no recent starts40%0.121.43.46 M✓

Probable bench

  1. GKM. Bizotno recent starts33%0.000.90.63 M
  2. GKZ. Suzukino recent starts33%0.000.94.11 M✓
  3. DEFT. Mings33%0.020.81.11 M✓
  4. DEFI. Maatsen33%0.011.01.62 M✓
  5. DEFV. Lindelöf33%0.011.01.17 M✓
  6. MIDGeorge Hemmingsno recent starts33%0.041.31.11 M✓
  7. MIDB. Kamarano recent starts33%0.041.53.21 M✓

Injured and suspended

  • O. WatkinsATT · out
Sun, Sep 6, 01:00 PM

Everton–Manchester United

Open the match →
EvertonEVE4-2-3-14-2-3-1MANManchester United
J. Pickford97%J. Tarkowski97%V. Mykolenko96%Branthwaite94%O'Brien57%I. Ndiaye97%Dewsbury-Hall97%I. Gueye97%J. Garner74%D. McNeil74%Beto65%S. Lammens93%L. Shaw88%N. Mazraoui77%Diogo Dalot57%A. Heaven55%Fernandes97%Casemiro94%Matheus Cunha87%K. Mainoo61%M. Ugarte60%B. Mbeumo71%

Everton

4-2-3-1 projected
  1. GK J. Pickford 97%0.002.56.79 M
  2. DEF J. Tarkowski 97%0.203.86.48 M
  3. DEF V. Mykolenko 96%0.042.83.25 M
  4. DEF J. Branthwaite 94%0.042.83.47 M
  5. DEF J. O'Brien 57%0.031.7
  6. MID I. Ndiaye 97%0.123.6
  7. MID K. Dewsbury-Hall 97%0.283.98.61 M
  8. MID I. Gueye 97%0.092.9
  9. MID J. Garner 74%0.092.36.01 M
  10. MID D. McNeil 74%0.082.31.38 M
  11. ATT Beto 65%0.252.5

Probable bench

  1. MIDM. Röhl28%0.041.42.70 M
  2. MIDH. Armstrong27%0.041.61.89 M
  3. ATTT. Barry25%0.161.63.57 M
  4. ATTTyrique George24%0.111.42.56 M
  5. ATTB. Johnson9%0.081.02.37 M
  6. MIDT. Iroegbunam5%0.020.7
  7. MIDC. Alcaraz5%0.020.70.76 M

Injured and suspended

  • H. HackneyMID · out

Manchester United

4-2-3-1 projected
  1. GK S. Lammens 93%0.001.74.51 M
  2. DEF L. Shaw 88%0.021.92.19 M
  3. DEF N. Mazraoui 77%0.021.51.82 M
  4. DEF Diogo Dalot 57%0.011.13.02 M
  5. DEF A. Heaven 55%0.021.50.90 M
  6. MID Bruno Fernandes 97%0.344.317.20 M
  7. MID Casemiro 94%0.102.6
  8. MID Matheus Cunha 87%0.062.79.69 M
  9. MID K. Mainoo 61%0.041.63.77 M
  10. MID M. Ugarte 60%0.031.5
  11. ATT B. Mbeumo 71%0.222.79.77 M

Probable bench

  1. ATTB. Šeško45%0.111.63.76 M
  2. DEFLisandro Martínez37%0.011.33.20 M
  3. DEFH. Maguire32%0.011.23.04 M
  4. MIDY. Tielemans30%0.031.29.12 M
  5. DEFL. Yoro27%0.010.81.39 M
  6. ATTM. Rashford23%0.061.14.68 M
  7. MIDAndrey Santos17%0.020.94.18 M

Injured and suspended

  • A. DialloATT · out
Sun, Sep 6, 03:30 PM

Arsenal–Chelsea

Open the match →
ArsenalARS4-2-3-14-2-3-1CHEChelsea
David Raya97%W. Saliba83%Magalhães83%B. White69%Lewis-Skelly67%D. Rice82%Zubimendi73%E. Eze63%M. Ødegaard56%Mikel Merino47%N. Madueke71%Sánchez69%Cucurella97%J. Hato74%W. Fofana69%M. Gusto64%C. Palmer70%R. Lavia59%Andrey Santos58%M. Rogers56%V. Barco43%Pedro Neto72%

Arsenal

4-2-3-1 projected
  1. GK David Raya 97%0.001.97.08 M
  2. DEF W. Saliba 83%0.021.9
  3. DEF Gabriel Magalhães 83%0.042.19.23 M
  4. DEF B. White 69%0.032.33.84 M
  5. DEF M. Lewis-Skelly 67%0.031.73.82 M
  6. MID D. Rice 82%0.102.613.62 M
  7. MID Martín Zubimendi 73%0.102.35.83 M
  8. MID E. Eze 63%0.082.04.73 M
  9. MID M. Ødegaard 56%0.152.111.51 M
  10. MID Mikel Merino 47%0.061.55.15 M
  11. ATT N. Madueke 71%0.303.03.35 M

Probable bench

  1. DEFP. Hincapié39%0.021.12.78 M
  2. DEFR. Calafiori39%0.022.04.93 M
  3. ATTB. Saka39%0.332.714.51 M
  4. ATTC. Tzolis39%0.161.86.19 M
  5. ATTK. Havertz39%0.262.68.12 M
  6. ATTV. Gyökeres39%0.212.05.10 M
  7. MIDBruno Guimarães24%0.051.29.84 M

Injured and suspended

  • Cristhian MosqueraDEF · out
  • Gabriel JesusATT · out
  • Gabriel MartinelliATT · out

Chelsea

4-2-3-1 projected
  1. GK Robert Sánchez 69%0.001.3
  2. DEF Marc Cucurella 97%0.022.0
  3. DEF J. Hato 74%0.021.62.30 M
  4. DEF W. Fofana 69%0.021.21.69 M
  5. DEF M. Gusto doubt64%0.021.42.46 M
  6. MID C. Palmer 70%0.243.414.62 M
  7. MID R. Lavia 59%0.111.92.77 M
  8. MID Andrey Santos doubt58%0.051.64.18 M
  9. MID M. Rogers no recent starts56%0.122.410.83 M
  10. MID V. Barco no recent starts43%0.051.21.80 M
  11. ATT Pedro Neto 72%0.282.76.60 M

Probable bench

  1. GKE. Martínezno recent starts35%0.001.13.65 M
  2. DEFJoshua Kofi Acheampongdoubt35%0.010.81.49 M
  3. DEFT. Chalobah35%0.011.2
  4. DEFPep Chavarríano recent starts35%0.010.91.92 M
  5. DEFM. Lacroixno recent starts35%0.011.35.73 M
  6. DEFL. Colwillno recent starts35%0.011.02.27 M
  7. ATTJoão Pedrono recent starts35%0.232.614.69 M

Injured and suspended

  • E. FernándezMID · out
  • M. CaicedoMID · out

% = start probability · xG = the player's expected goals in this match · ✓/✗ = actual starter once the lineup is confirmed. Model v1: recent confirmed lineups, season minutes, injuries and suspensions, rotation. Not dressing-room information. pts = expected points in this match on the standard scale (appearance 1, 60 minutes +1, goal 6 defenders and keepers / 5 midfielders / 4 forwards, assist 3, clean sheet 4 / 1, goal conceded −0.5 for keepers and defenders).

All teams →

Frequently asked questions

What are the Premier League predicted lineups for matchday 3?

This matchday has 9 matches with a probable XI: Newcastle – Bournemouth, Nottingham Forest – Tottenham, Fulham – Crystal Palace, Manchester City – Coventry, Brighton – Leeds, Brentford – Sunderland, Hull City – Aston Villa, Everton – Manchester United, Arsenal – Chelsea. Each XI is computed from every player's start probability and graded in public against the confirmed lineup.

Who is injured or suspended on Premier League matchday 3?

Newcastle: L. Miley (out), W. Osula (out); Bournemouth: J. Soler (out), M. Di Gregorio (out); Nottingham Forest: I. Sangaré (out), M. Gibbs-White (out); Tottenham: M. van de Ven (out), Pedro Porro (out), J. Maddison (out); Fulham: L. De Fougerolles (out); Crystal Palace: C. Riad (out), J. Mateta (out); Manchester City: E. Anderson (out); Coventry: F. Onyeka (out); Brighton: G. Rutter (out), M. Wieffer (out), J. Hinshelwood (out), M. O'Riley (out), M. Svoboda (out); Leeds: J. Rodon (out); Brentford: A. Milambo (out), J. Dasilva (out), M. Jensen (out); Sunderland: H. Diarra (out); Hull City: M. Crooks (out), L. Coyle (out); Aston Villa: O. Watkins (out); Everton: H. Hackney (out); Manchester United: A. Diallo (out); Arsenal: Cristhian Mosquera (out), Gabriel Jesus (out), Gabriel Martinelli (out); Chelsea: E. Fernández (out), M. Caicedo (out)

When are the Premier League predicted lineups updated?

Every morning and at noon until kickoff. The version published at least three hours before the start is frozen and graded against the confirmed lineup, which arrives an hour before.

The model's analysis, free on Telegram

Every day: one model analysis and yesterday's result, published win or lose. No 90% promises — the full graded track record is public.

Join the free channel