Ligue 1 predicted lineups · Matchday 3 2026/27
Each team's probable XI (possible lineup) with every player's start probability, plus the matchday's injured and suspended players. Recomputed every morning and at noon; the version published three hours before kickoff is the one graded against the confirmed lineup.
Expected points, matchday 3
The players with the most expected points according to the model: start probability, minutes, expected goals and assists and clean sheet, on the standard position-weighted scale (goal 6/5/4, assist 3, clean sheet 4/1). Works for any fantasy game: the ranking survives a different scale.
| # | Player | Team | start | xG | xA | pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. ThauvinATT | Lensvs Lorient | 68% | 1.19 | 0.41 | 7.6 |
| 2 | E. LepaulATT | Rennesvs Angers | 97% | 0.68 | 0.15 | 5.0 |
| 3 | R. RipartATT | Estac Troyesvs Strasbourg | 94% | 0.52 | 0.19 | 4.5 |
| 4 | A. GouiriATT | Marseillevs Paris FC | 86% | 0.54 | 0.18 | 4.5 |
| 5 | L. MafoutaATT | Le Mansvs Nice | 97% | 0.42 | 0.18 | 4.1 |
| 6 | J. MakengoATT | Lorientvs Lens | 84% | 0.44 | 0.15 | 4.0 |
| 7 | M. UdolMID | Lensvs Lorient | 97% | 0.24 | 0.22 | 3.9 |
| 8 | A. OuzenadjiATT | Estac Troyesvs Strasbourg | 95% | 0.37 | 0.20 | 3.9 |
| 9 | A. ThomassonMID | Lensvs Lorient | 62% | 0.15 | 0.52 | 3.9 |
| 10 | P. HøjbjergMID | Marseillevs Paris FC | 97% | 0.25 | 0.16 | 3.8 |
| 11 | L. MaronnierDEF | Estac Troyesvs Strasbourg | 88% | 0.22 | 0.06 | 3.8 |
| 12 | L. AjorqueATT | Stade Brestois 29vs Le Havre | 96% | 0.34 | 0.12 | 3.6 |
| 13 | B. van den BoomenMID | Angersvs Rennes | 97% | 0.24 | 0.10 | 3.5 |
| 14 | M. SamattaATT | Le Havrevs Stade Brestois 29 | 80% | 0.35 | 0.10 | 3.4 |
| 15 | K. DoumbiaMID | Stade Brestois 29vs Le Havre | 74% | 0.21 | 0.15 | 3.3 |
Lens0–1Lorient
Open the match →Lens
- GK R. Risser 71%0.001.45.80 M
- DEF S. Sagnan doubt60%0.051.71.30 M
- DEF A. Masuaku 54%0.031.6
- DEF R. Aguilar no recent starts40%0.030.91.86 M
- MID M. Udol 97%0.243.93.44 M
- MID A. Thomasson doubt62%0.153.9
- MID M. Sangaré doubt61%0.143.1
- MID Y. Titraoui doubt60%0.152.83.55 M
- MID M. Cuisance doubt57%0.122.12.74 M
- MID M. Sarr doubt49%0.132.0
- ATT F. Thauvin 68%1.197.68.28 M
Probable bench
- MIDW. Saïd33%0.121.8
- MIDS. Baidoo33%0.121.82.20 M
- MIDA. Saint-Maximin33%0.121.8
- MIDA. Bulatovićno recent starts33%0.111.71.59 M
- MIDT. Hazardno recent starts33%0.111.73.18 M
- ATTO. Édouard33%0.332.64.52 M
- ATTF. Ivanovićdoubt33%0.392.7
Injured and suspended
- I. GaniouDEF · out
- M. NawrockiDEF · out
- Saud AbdulhamidDEF · out
Lorient
- GK Y. Mvogo 83%0.00-0.13.09 M
- DEF N. Adjei 86%0.040.21.12 M
- DEF A. Faye 68%0.030.1
- DEF M. Talbi 49%0.020.42.87 M
- MID A. Avom 97%0.132.93.65 M
- MID N. Cadiou 85%0.112.71.17 M
- MID K. Kouassi 83%0.112.72.55 M
- MID P. Pagis 81%0.092.44.89 M
- MID T. Le Bris 81%0.092.31.33 M
- MID B. Meité 64%0.092.0
- ATT J. Makengo 84%0.444.01.99 M
Probable bench
- ATTB. Dieng40%0.202.0
- DEFD. Sylla36%0.020.51.09 M
- ATTG. Bernardeau30%0.131.50.60 M
- ATTM. Kone30%0.131.5
- DEFP. Katseris13%0.010.41.16 M
- ATTA. Tosin13%0.101.11.10 M
- DEFA. Georgen13%0.010.41.05 M
Injured and suspended
- B. FadigaMID · out
Nice1–1Le Mans
Open the match →Nice
5/11 right · expected 7.3 · called 3 h before
Season: 5.0/11 over 1 lineups
- GK Y. Diouf 74%0.001.93.99 M✓
- DEF M. Bard 97%0.052.6✗
- DEF A. Mendy 82%0.042.12.50 M✗
- DEF K. Peprah Oppong 74%0.042.0✗
- DEF X. Mandza Tsiendi no recent starts50%0.031.7✓
- MID D. Coulibaly doubt68%0.112.60.35 M✓
- MID M. Cho 58%0.092.0✗
- MID H. Boudaoui 57%0.081.8✗
- MID S. Diop 56%0.082.14.58 M✓
- MID G. Hein no recent starts50%0.082.04.11 M✗
- ATT E. Wahi 73%0.353.24.01 M✓
Probable bench
- ATTT. Louchet41%0.252.3
- MIDY. Ndayishimiyeno recent starts40%0.071.93.52 M✓
- DEFAbdulay Bahdoubt38%0.031.3
- MIDS. Abdul Sameddoubt38%0.081.61.03 M
- DEFDantedoubt34%0.021.2
- GKM. Dupé25%0.000.8
- DEFMohamed Abdelmonemno recent starts20%0.020.91.06 M✓
Injured and suspended
- J. ClaussDEF · out
- A. WitselMID · out
- M. SansonMID · out
Le Mans
8/11 right · expected 9.6 · called 3 h before
Season: 8.0/11 over 1 lineups
- GK E. Hatfout 55%0.000.90.20 M✓
- DEF N. Boissé 96%0.021.90.32 M✓
- DEF A. Lauray 95%0.021.80.78 M✓
- DEF L. Calodat 91%0.022.00.78 M✓
- MID L. Buadés 97%0.072.60.83 M✗
- MID L. Bretelle 88%0.072.51.28 M✗
- MID J. Vercruysse 58%0.041.50.53 M✓
- MID M. Robin 55%0.041.5✗
- ATT L. Mafouta 97%0.424.12.13 M✓
- ATT A. Bourabaa 95%0.183.10.57 M✓
- ATT D. Guèye 94%0.243.01.50 M✓
Probable bench
- ATTA. Rabillard45%0.101.50.82 M
- ATTB. Brahimi45%0.121.60.32 M
- DEFH. Voyer45%0.011.40.52 M✓
- DEFBrunel Lutundisa2%0.000.0
- DEFRaúl Torrente2%0.000.00.42 M✓
- MIDD. Traoré2%0.000.10.18 M
- MIDL. Abanda2%0.000.1
Injured and suspended
- R. BambaDEF · out
- T. EyoumDEF · out
- N. KocikGK · out
- Y. LarouciMID · out
- D. SidibéDEF · out
- E. ColasATT · out
- E. QuarshieMID · out
- S. YohouDEF · out
- W. HarhouzATT · out
Le Havre1–2Stade Brestois 29
Open the match →Le Havre
- GK M. Diaw 62%0.001.4
- DEF A. Seko 82%0.032.32.06 M
- DEF A. Sangante 79%0.032.2
- DEF F. Doucouré 73%0.022.2
- MID R. Ndiaye 97%0.113.03.03 M
- MID I. Soumaré 79%0.082.6
- MID L. Gourna-Douath 69%0.082.1
- MID J. Mwanga 47%0.051.72.86 M
- MID A. Richardson 47%0.051.70.73 M
- ATT M. Samatta 80%0.353.41.28 M
- ATT S. Boufal 62%0.232.4
Probable bench
- GKL. Mpasi38%0.001.41.68 M
- DEFG. Lloris38%0.021.52.14 M
- MIDS. Ebonog37%0.051.60.80 M
- DEFT. Pembélé31%0.011.10.47 M
- DEFA. Touba23%0.011.21.12 M
- DEFV. Sasso22%0.010.90.52 M
- ATTE. Koffi Vinette20%0.101.2
Injured and suspended
- Paul ArgneyGK · out
- Y. ZouaouiDEF · out
Stade Brestois 29
- GK E. Selvik 73%0.001.71.36 M
- DEF K. Lala 95%0.032.21.99 M
- DEF R. Le Guen 92%0.032.10.33 M
- DEF B. Locko 75%0.021.92.05 M
- DEF G. Lloris 60%0.021.62.14 M
- MID J. Chotard 97%0.082.73.95 M
- MID R. Del Castillo 88%0.142.8
- MID K. Doumbia 74%0.213.34.71 M
- MID R. Labeau Lascary 59%0.101.91.14 M
- MID L. Tousart 56%0.041.51.34 M
- ATT L. Ajorque 96%0.343.65.18 M
Probable bench
- ATTP. Mboup46%0.121.81.13 M
- MIDH. Magnetti35%0.041.43.24 M
- GKG. Coudert27%0.000.8
- DEFB. Chardonnet27%0.010.91.51 M
- DEFL. Zogbe27%0.010.90.45 M
- MIDJ. Nonge Boende19%0.020.9
- ATTMama Baldé12%0.060.92.41 M
Injured and suspended
- J. BourgaultMID · out
- M. DiambouMID · out
- R. CagnonGK · out
Estac Troyes–Strasbourg
Open the match →Estac Troyes
- GK P. Beach 97%0.002.51.60 M
- DEF A. Monfray 96%0.042.91.39 M
- DEF M. Diaz 94%0.042.81.75 M
- DEF L. Maronnier 88%0.223.80.58 M
- DEF Noah Donkor 55%0.021.6
- MID M. Ifnaoui 94%0.123.21.69 M
- MID M. Diop 93%0.123.11.33 M
- MID H. Picard 92%0.113.01.75 M
- ATT A. Ouzenadji 95%0.373.90.59 M
- ATT R. Ripart 94%0.524.51.19 M
- ATT K. Diawara 59%0.212.30.44 M
Probable bench
- MIDA. Mille45%0.062.01.26 M
- MIDA. Phliponeau30%0.051.40.41 M
- MIDD. Karim16%0.041.02.02 M
- ATTY. Kone15%0.111.3
- MIDR. Murcy2%0.000.10.20 M
- MIDE. Odede2%0.000.1
- MIDI. Soukouna2%0.000.1
Injured and suspended
- I. GomisMID · out
- Y. TitiDEF · out
Strasbourg
- GK F. Jörgensen 71%0.001.34.74 M
- DEF A. Omobamidele 97%0.021.6
- DEF G. Antwi 67%0.021.40.46 M
- DEF L. Høgsberg 67%0.021.42.04 M
- DEF J. Mitchell 56%0.021.3
- MID S. Nanasi 69%0.052.43.95 M
- MID Diogo Sousa 64%0.041.80.81 M
- MID P. Diop 61%0.041.51.65 M
- MID G. Reyna 60%0.041.51.64 M
- MID Diego Moreira 48%0.031.2
- ATT Gessime Yassine 73%0.293.03.95 M
Probable bench
- ATTJ. Ortega40%0.091.40.71 M
- ATTJ. Enciso40%0.091.7
- MIDA. Ouattara35%0.031.2
- DEFB. Chilwell26%0.010.7
- ATTM. Godo26%0.081.22.75 M
- GKM. Penders26%0.000.7
- ATTE. Emegha26%0.081.2
Injured and suspended
- M. OyedeleMID · out
- S. El MourabetMID · out
Angers–Rennes
Open the match →Angers
- GK Anthony Lopes doubt69%0.001.43.83 M
- DEF O. Camara 91%0.032.22.62 M
- DEF J. Lefort 91%0.031.82.38 M
- DEF J. Ekomié doubt53%0.021.4
- DEF C. Arcus doubt53%0.021.00.75 M
- DEF J. Kalulu doubt52%0.021.40.55 M
- MID B. van den Boomen 97%0.243.51.51 M
- MID A. Sbaï 91%0.092.72.20 M
- MID Y. Belkhdim doubt63%0.072.21.49 M
- ATT A. El Ouazzani doubt64%0.273.01.84 M
- ATT J. Allevinah doubt59%0.162.01.36 M
Probable bench
- MIDL. Rao-Lisoadoubt43%0.061.81.21 M
- MIDA. Bermontdoubt43%0.051.40.45 M
- ATTP. Peterdoubt39%0.151.70.89 M
- DEFMarius Louërdoubt34%0.020.90.30 M
- GKH. Koffidoubt30%0.000.7
- MIDP. Capelledoubt30%0.051.2
- MIDH. Belkebladoubt30%0.051.21.22 M
Injured and suspended
- L. MoutonMID · out
Rennes
- GK N. Lemaître doubt61%0.001.6
- DEF A. Ait Boudlal 78%0.032.0
- DEF C. Cresswell 73%0.021.9
- DEF M. Nagida 57%0.021.3
- DEF A. Seidu 53%0.021.3
- MID V. Rongier 78%0.172.9
- MID S. Szymański 76%0.152.5
- MID Mousa Tamari 75%0.062.1
- ATT E. Lepaul 97%0.685.0
- ATT B. Embolo 60%0.212.7
- ATT Eliezer Mayenda no recent starts45%0.141.6
Probable bench
- DEFL. Brassier37%0.021.1
- MIDI. Soumaré37%0.041.5
- MIDL. Blasno recent starts37%0.051.4
- MIDA. Thomasson37%0.042.1
- MIDP. Frankowski37%0.041.8
- MIDM. Camara37%0.051.4
- MIDQ. Merlin37%0.041.3
Injured and suspended
- B. SambaGK · out
Marseille–Paris FC
Open the match →Marseille
- GK J. de Lange 73%0.002.11.65 M
- DEF Emerson 72%0.032.43.24 M
- DEF C. Egan-Riley 71%0.022.32.92 M
- DEF F. Medina 67%0.022.1
- DEF N. Aguerd 61%0.021.83.67 M
- MID P. Højbjerg 97%0.253.87.31 M
- MID T. Weah 85%0.092.94.54 M
- MID Q. Timber 72%0.082.3
- MID A. Harit 70%0.082.53.35 M
- MID H. Abdelli 50%0.051.53.98 M
- ATT A. Gouiri 86%0.544.59.83 M
Probable bench
- ATTM. Greenwood41%0.182.1
- ATTP. Aubameyang41%0.312.8
- DEFB. Pavard41%0.021.8
- GKG. Rulli38%0.001.2
- DEFL. Balerdi38%0.021.4
- ATTK. Abdallah26%0.171.7
- DEFD. Cornelius11%0.010.71.38 M
Injured and suspended
- A. GomesMID · out
- Igor PaixãoMID · out
- G. KondogbiaMID · out
- T. NnadiMID · out
Paris FC
- GK K. Trapp 97%0.001.42.79 M
- DEF D. Coppola 97%0.031.73.80 M
- DEF M. Mbow 82%0.031.62.38 M
- DEF N. Sangui 70%0.021.20.96 M
- DEF H. Traoré 56%0.021.01.25 M
- MID P. Lees-Melou 71%0.062.24.37 M
- MID A. Camara 70%0.062.21.59 M
- MID J. Ikoné 70%0.061.92.47 M
- MID M. Munetsi 70%0.061.9
- MID R. Matondo 65%0.051.70.74 M
- ATT M. Simon 87%0.182.64.16 M
Probable bench
- MIDM. Lopez46%0.041.4
- ATTW. Geubbels46%0.111.6
- ATTL. Sinayoko40%0.152.06.42 M
- DEFS. Chergui29%0.061.31.09 M
- ATTC. Immobile29%0.101.4
- MIDV. Marchetti12%0.050.90.80 M
- MIDE. Zabi10%0.020.8
Injured and suspended
- I. KebbalMID · out
- OtávioDEF · out
- P. PagisMID · out
- L. KoleoshoATT · out
% = start probability · xG = the player's expected goals in this match · ✓/✗ = actual starter once the lineup is confirmed. Model v1: recent confirmed lineups, season minutes, injuries and suspensions, rotation. Not dressing-room information. pts = expected points in this match on the standard scale (appearance 1, 60 minutes +1, goal 6 defenders and keepers / 5 midfielders / 4 forwards, assist 3, clean sheet 4 / 1, goal conceded −0.5 for keepers and defenders).
Frequently asked questions
What are the Ligue 1 predicted lineups for matchday 3?
This matchday has 6 matches with a probable XI: Lens – Lorient, Nice – Le Mans, Le Havre – Stade Brestois 29, Estac Troyes – Strasbourg, Angers – Rennes, Marseille – Paris FC. Each XI is computed from every player's start probability and graded in public against the confirmed lineup.
Who is injured or suspended on Ligue 1 matchday 3?
Lens: I. Ganiou (out), M. Nawrocki (out), Saud Abdulhamid (out); Lorient: B. Fadiga (out); Nice: J. Clauss (out), A. Witsel (out), M. Sanson (out); Le Mans: R. Bamba (out), T. Eyoum (out), N. Kocik (out), Y. Larouci (out), D. Sidibé (out), E. Colas (out), E. Quarshie (out), S. Yohou (out), W. Harhouz (out); Le Havre: Paul Argney (out), Y. Zouaoui (out); Stade Brestois 29: J. Bourgault (out), M. Diambou (out), R. Cagnon (out); Estac Troyes: I. Gomis (out), Y. Titi (out); Strasbourg: M. Oyedele (out), S. El Mourabet (out); Angers: L. Mouton (out); Rennes: B. Samba (out); Marseille: A. Gomes (out), Igor Paixão (out), G. Kondogbia (out), T. Nnadi (out); Paris FC: I. Kebbal (out), Otávio (out), P. Pagis (out), L. Koleosho (out)
When are the Ligue 1 predicted lineups updated?
Every morning and at noon until kickoff. The version published at least three hours before the start is frozen and graded against the confirmed lineup, which arrives an hour before.
The model's analysis, free on Telegram
Every day: one model analysis and yesterday's result, published win or lose. No 90% promises — the full graded track record is public.